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 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks

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roguegenius



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PostSubject: 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks   12th August 2014, 02:36

First topic message reminder :

This thread is for my football picks and predictions, feel free to share your thoughts about my picks. Also share your own picks and lets discuss it in here. My picks are based from stats, analyzing the teams, but it's not, of course zero risk betting. Always bet with your own risk. 

I'll start with three games from France League Cup for Aug 13. These games have a good value for 1x2 and other selections. Good luck.. 

Valenciennes vs Troyes

This could be an equal match base on stats, but Troyes has a slight advantage. I put a small amount for Troyes at 1x2. But the over 2.5 goals from both of these teams is what I fancied. I put a decent amount for Over 2.25 @SBOBet with 2.01 odds, a pretty lovely pick imo. 

1x2
Pick: Troyes
Odds: 2.53
Stake: 3/10

Over Under
Pick: 2.25
Odds: 2.01
Stake:10/10

__________

Laval vs Sochaux

I think that Laval will win a one goal advantage here, but for safety going for a decent stake @AH Laval +0.25 with 1.70 odds will be good. Odds are really close, but Laval has the upper hand. 

1x2
Pick: Laval
Odds: 2.65
Stake: 5/10

Asian Handicap
Pick: Laval +0.25
Odds: 1.70
Stake: 10/10

__________

CA Bastia vs Creteil

CA Bastia take a 3-1 victory against Creteil in their last match, but CA Bastia not performing well on their previous matches. They didn't take any win from their last 5 matches, although they only have one lose from home Creteil have the edge to win this match. This will be a two goal advantage for Cretiel. 

1x2
Pick: Creteil
Odds: 2.37
Stake: 3/10

Asian Handicap
Pick: -0.25 Creteil
Odds: 2.11
Stake: 8/10

Over Under
Pick: Over 2.5
Odds: 2.02
Stake: 3/10

Good Luck!
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roguegenius



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PostSubject: Re: 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks   6th October 2014, 04:13

Oct 8 Picks,

English Conference National

 Bristol Rovers vs Dartford FC

These teams have never been a game before, it's easy to say that Bristol Rovers had the edge in this fixture. What else can we say they are number 6 in the league table, playing at home and overly favoured by bookmakers with 1.43 odd. They can score an average of 2 goals in their last 5 matches. Even they conceded two consecutive draws in their last games, this will be a game for them. I didn't expect a lot from Dortmund, maybe they will concede a goal here and wait for their defeat. 

1x2
Pick: Bristol Rovers
Odds: 1.43
Stake: 7/10

__________

Bookmakers almost give an even odds for this fixture and also a pretty even team form. What bothers me is Aldershot always have an answer if they're playing against Chester. I want to predict a draw for this one, but Aldershot for me has a clear win view for this match. This will be a 0 - 1, 1 - 1,  for Aldershot so I'll put a small amount in Asian Handicap Betting for 0.0 Aldershot.  

Asian Handicap
Pick: Aldershot Town
Odds: 1.87
Stake: 4/10

Don't have any good games for today I'll check tomorrow for the major leagues and also check the In-Play Betting lines for potential profits. Good luck and enjoy!
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roguegenius



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PostSubject: Re: 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks   7th October 2014, 04:27

Oct 10 Picks

UEFA EURO 2016 QUALIFIERS 

Belarus vs Ukraine

The home advantage of Belarus will not be a factor against a team that performed well with both sides. Ukraine didn't lose in their five recent matches. Taking four wins and a draw, they are ready to take their spot here. We know how Ukraine performs with their at home, but they also have an edge when playing away. This will be a 1 goal advantage win for Ukraine, let's say 1 - 2. I  will bet a good amount for Over 2.25 goals with 2.25 odds, and Ukraine to beat Belarus 1x2 with 2.23 @ SBOBet. Expect that odds will drop into the Ukraine side. 

Over Under
Pick: Over 2.25
Odds: 2.25
Stake: 6/10

1x2
Pick: Ukraine
Odds: 2.23
Stake: 6/10

__________

FYR Macedonia vs Luxembourg

This fixture is a mistake! Yes, Macedonia will have a home advantage and Luxenborg had a worst form, but giving Macedonia at 1.45 odds is a mistake. They also not playing well both sides, even losing a lot of games at home against stronger teams like Portugal. Luxembourg is not as strong as Portugal, but heavily favoring Macedonia in 1x2 is not a good idea. This will be a draw in my opinion. The +1 in Asian handicap with 2.12 odds for Luxembourg is a profit! 

Asian Handicap
Pick: +1 Luxembourg
Odds: 2.12
Stake: 5/10

__________

Lithuania vs Estonia

Against strong teams like England, Moldova and Poland, Lithuania had no chance, but in this fixture against Estonia is a different story. This will be an even matched, home advantage for Lithuania will not secure them a victory because Estonia knows how concede goals that Lithuania is lacking. I want to call another draw for this one so putting in Asian Handicap for this fixture is a safer pick. 

Asian Handicap
Pick: +0.50 Estonia
Odds: 1.72
Stake: 6/10

A lot of exciting and profit fixture in this league, so I guess we will focus on this one for now. More Euro Qualifiers Picks to come so stand by. Good luck and have a nice day!
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roguegenius



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PostSubject: Re: 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks   10th October 2014, 08:08

UEFA EURO 2016 QUALIFIERS

Albania vs Denmark

The away win from Portugal makes Albania a top contender in this tournament. They show that they can adapt and perform well against the home crowd, this time they will be in a comfortable position. AH handicap is on their side and  the odds are fair for them. Favoured by bookmakers, Denmark can also play both sides, but focus more on defence that make the game lack with goals. This can be a draw outcome or a one goal lead in favor of Albania. In case that it becomes a draw the Asian Handicap line for Albania also had a fair price. 

Asian Handicap
Pick: +0.25 Albania
Odds: 1.99
Stake: 5/10

__________

Northern Ireland vs Faroe Islands

This fixture is insane! SBOBet heavily favoured Northern Ireland with 1.27 in 1x2 line. Yes, there are taking a break in away, but their overall performance is not that solid. They only scored 2 goals in their five away matches, an average of 0.4 goals per game. Faroe Islands away performance is not a joke they conceded 6 goals in their last away match. This will be a huge profit on the Faroe's side, but if you want a safer bet than simply take Faroe Islands to in AH +1.50 with a whooping 2.05 odds. This will be a mistake for this fixture so act fast before the odds drops. 

1x2
Pick: Faroe Islands
Odds: 10.50
Stake: 3/10 

Asian Handicap
Pick: +1.50 Faroe Islands
Odds: 2.05
Stake: 10/10

Act fast this will be a potential profit on our side! Good luck!
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roguegenius



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PostSubject: Re: 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks   11th October 2014, 05:03

ITALY SERIE B 

Catania vs Bari

Home performance of Catania is impressive, they never lose any games in their last five, and won 3 of that games. Currently in the 18th position in this tournament, but that will not affect their home performance. Bari maybe a defensive team, but that also counts if they're playing away. I don't want to call a draw for this one, but there's a possibility, so we will have to go for the AH line. I recommend to watch this game live and check the In-play Betting lines for this fixture.

Asian Handicap
Pick: +0.25 Bari
Odds: 2.05
Stake: 3/10

__________

Avellino vs Carpi

After a draw in Stadi Sandro Cabassi in their last meeting. Avellino will have the edge and motivation to beat Carpi at home. This will be a hard time for Carpi, especially they're not performing well at away. The home court advantage will boost the morale of Avellino just like before, also Castaldo will be happy to perform in the home crowd. 

1x2
Pick: Avellino
Odds: 2.20
Stake: 5/10

__________

Latina vs Bologna

Odds are favoured on Latina side because some of the main players of Bologna has injuries. Absence of Cacia will hurt the performance of Bologna, especially at away. I think they can still hold on since they have good numbers in away form. If Latina goes on full offense Bologna is in trouble. I pick Latina to beat Bologna @2.31.

1x2
Pick: Latina
Odds: 2.31
Stake: 5/10

Good luck!
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PostSubject: Re: 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks   14th October 2014, 03:24

UEFA EURO 2016 QUALIFIERS

Germany vs Republic of Ireland

After a scoreless defeat from Poland, Muller and the rest of the German squad will at the home side this time. The expectations for Germany in this fixture is high a 1.23 favourable odds from various bookmakers. I'll take the hype here and Germany to win this fixture. I also put a small amount for Ireland in AH +1.50 @2.20, This team knows how to have goals and that will be a fancy goal if they take 1 in this game. 

1x2
Pick: Germany
Odds: 1.23
Stake: 10/10

Asian Handicap
Pick: +1.50 Republic of Ireland
Odds: 2.20
Stake: 3/10

__________

Denmark vs Portugal

Portugal is in a bad position in my opinion, they're not performing well in away and Denmark has the form in home. This will be a draw win for Denmark and the odds that favor Portugal is a mistake. We can take Demark to win straight line or AH for more safer picks, but I'll go to Denmark to win this fixture with 3.00 odds. 

1x2
Pick: Denmark
Odds: 3.00
Stake: 5/10

AH
Pick: +0.25 Denmark
Odds: 1.91
Stake: Your preference

__________

Finland vs Romania

Finland's performance is hit and miss at home, if Riski didn't have a good performance this will be a draw/lose at home. Romania beats Greece in an away victory with a one goal advantage, so they will come to this match ready also history tells that Romania always won against Finland. This can be a 1 goal win or draw for Romania. 

1x2
Pick: Romania
Odds: 2.63
Stake: 5/10

Asian Handicap
Pick: 0.00 Romania
Odds: 1.91
Stake: 5/10

Thats it for today! Good luck!
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PostSubject: Re: 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks   15th October 2014, 05:09

Oct 18 picks

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE  

Manchester City vs Tottenham Hotspur

High expectations of Over 3 here, Man City will fill this game with goals. Remembers last years 6-0 home game for Man City. Injuries from both sides will not affect this fixture, especially Aguero and the rest of the firehouse of Man City still there. This will be a cherry pick if Hotspur makes a goal, but they have no chance in this game and just wait for the full time loss. Early picks for this EPL week expect that the odds will drop as the match comes close. 

Over Under
Pick: Over 3
Odds: 2.06
Stake: 8/10

___________

Arsenal vs Hull City

Arsenal will be glad to play home after an away lose against Chelsea. I'm expecting a lot of goals from them even Ramsey will not be in this game. Yes, they will surely win this fixture they have quality line up like Sanchez, Wellbeck, Wilshere ect. 

Hull City won their last match against CP.  Diame and Jelavic will be the main heart of this team if this players doesn't perform then this will be an easy win for Arsenal. If Hull City play the away pressure well then maybe they can have at least one goal. 

Despite the favourable odds for Arsenal @1.39, Hull City have a good goal average while their away. An average of 2 goals per game in their last 5 and two of that fixtures are in away. Just like above an Over 3 will be a profit here. 

Over Under
Pick: Over 3
Odds: 2.13
Stake: 8/10


Over Under lines for today! Cheers!
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PostSubject: Re: 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks   16th October 2014, 04:50

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE Oct 18 picks

Burnley vs West Ham United

Expect a lot of goals in this fixture. Burnley is currently 19th in the standings with four points (0-4-3), while West Ham is currently seventh in the standings and the team has 10 points (3-1-3). Burnley this season is a team for whom everyone thinks that they are the weakest and they will soon return to the Championship, but they were in the previous game played a very interesting match and won one point in a match against Leicester City, 2-2. West Ham playing constantly attacking and in the previous four of five games they are played with three or more goals (2-0, 1-2, 3-1, 2-2, 1-3). I think this game certainly will bring at least two goals, and perhaps more.

Over Under
Pick: Over 2.5
Odds: 2.04
Stake: 5/10

__________

Crystal Palace vs Chelsea

Chelsea is now the best team in England and is the strongest candidate to tittle. City has received Totenham and will be a tough game for them and Mourinho has a good opportunity to maintain or raise even more the distance for 2nd place. Chelsea have a champions league game on Tuesday and want to solve the game as soon as possible. Many Chelsea players were in their national teams and will have less time to prepare the game and the rest. 

Asian Handicap
Pick: 1.25 Chelsea
Odds: 2.02
Stake: 3/10

__________

Everton vs Aston Villa

Everton has not yet hit the heights of last season's 5th place finish, and with just 1 league win so far this season find themselves down in 17th place. They've been scoring goals well enough (13 of them so far, among them Phil Jagielka's howitzer at Liverpool, which may have wrapped up Goal of the Season already) but their defence has been alarmingly poor- 16 goals conceded is the league's highest total, a situation that won't be helped by the ankle injury sustained by John Stones. After an encouraging start, 3 consecutive defeats leave Aston Villa in mid-table. The return of Christian Benteke in attack offers hope, and the beefed-up attacking threat should see this game produce a few goals.

Over Under
Pick: Over 2.5
Odds: 1.78
Stake: 10/10
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PostSubject: Re: 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks   17th October 2014, 03:48

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE Oct 18 picks

Newcastle United vs Leicester City

These teams had action packed matches this season, and it's been very interesting to watch both sides. Alan Pardew's Newcastle has shown signs of improvement of late with the return of Papis Cisse, who has saved points for Newcastle 2 times in a row. They both have a great start to the campaign, but I believe now is finally the time for Newcastle to record all 3 points! These teams have averaged over 2.5 goals from their games they have played this season. Investing Over 2.5 goals is a profit. 

1x2
Pick: Newcastle
Odds: 2.12
Stake: 6/10

Over Under
Pick: Over 2.5
Odds: 1.78
Stake: 7/10

__________

Southampton vs Sunderland

The host team will be happy to maintain their spot in the top on the league table, after an away 0-1 loss from Tottenham. Southampton is a team that can play good both sides, but when they're at home they have a huge goal average. With the likes of Pelle and Schneiderlin this will be an easy win for them. Don't have much to say in Sunderland their away performance are hit and miss. They only won one game in their last 5 away match (D-L-W-D-D), and this will be a slaughter for them.   AH -0.75 for this match!

Asian Handicap
Pick: -0.75 Southampton
Odds: 1.76
Stake: 5/10

All the odds are provided by SBOBet, you can also check the In-play Betting lines for this matches. Cheers guys!
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PostSubject: Re: 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks   18th October 2014, 04:12

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE Oct 19 picks!

Queens Park Rangers vs Liverpool

We know that QPR is at the bottom of the league table. They have a worst form both sides, but they have the ability to make goals, especially at home. QPR can at least concede a single goal from this fixture. If Liverpool do their job and play offensive this will surely a win for them. I expect a 1-2 in this fixture and put a decent amount in Over 2.5. 

Over Under
Pick: Over 2.5
Odds: 1.74
Stake: 8/10

__________

Stoke City vs Swansea City

Stoke City last season problems with scoring isn't really changed, but they keep having a strong defence, most of all when playing in front of their supporter: in 3 home matches, they have scored only 1 goal and suffered 2 goals. Swansea had a great season, but lost some shape after losing 4-2 against Chelsea last September, gaining only 2 points in 3 matches, including a scoreless away draw against Sunderland.

I believe this match won't see many goals coming, so Under 2.5 is the right bet and I'm pretty confident in getting it right.

Over Under
Pick: Under 2.5
Odds: 1.74
Stake: 6/10

Odds are from SBOBET, good luck and have a nice day.
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PostSubject: Re: 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks   19th October 2014, 03:11

Oct 21 Picks

EPL

W.B.A vs Manchester United

Just like the odds favoured for this fixture, Man Untd has the edge in this match. I know that Man United have defensive problems, but other that Berahino, I can't see much power in W.B.A side. 

Even Rooney will be missed in this match the rest of the Man Untd offensive attack will recover them. Alan Irvine's side has started well but I still think they have an ordinary side who will struggle to stay up, and can see Van Persie, Falcao, Di Maria and Mata has the quality to break them down with ease.

The injuries are easing too, Ander Herrera should be back and Phil Jones and Michael Carrick are edging closer to a return.

1x2
Pick: Man United
Odds: 1.72
Stake: 7/10
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PostSubject: Re: 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks   21st October 2014, 04:02

Oct 23 Picks

UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE  

Anderlecht vs Arsenal

Arsenal had 3 points while Anderlecht is on the bottom of the table with 1 point. They are played one time against each other and Arsenal won with 1-0 at home. The both teams are not in their best form from the start of the season. But I think Arsenal had the best and the classier team from both and most experience in this tournament so shouldn't be a problem for them to win the three points here. My choice is Arsenal to win at odds of 1.75 we can also fancy a 1-1 in this fixture so I also put a small amount in AH 0.50.

1x2
Pick: Arsenal
Odds: 4.40
Stake: 6/10

Asian Handicap
Pick: 0.50 Anderlecht
Odds: 2.17
Stake: 3/10

__________

AS Monaco vs Benfica

Monaco home performance is good so far the real deal here is their low goal average. In the other hand Benfica's goal average are great, they concede 7 goals from their last away matches so this will be a Benfica game for me. Benfica can do wonders even playing away and that will be the key for this fixture.

1x2
Pick: Benfica 
Odds: 2.95
Stake: 6/10

__________

Bayer Leverkusen vs Zenit St. Petersburg

Leverkusen have been scoring plenty of goals so far this season (16 in 8 Bundesliga games), while also conceding plenty (14 in the Bundesliga so far). They have a young, enterprising team full of exciting young attackers such as Karim Bellarabi and Heung-Min Son, but have also demonstrated an alarming soft centre-witness Saturday's 2nd half collapse at Stuttgart, where they threw away a 3-0 half time lead to only draw 3-3. They face a Zenit side who has already proven their capabilities in this season's Champions League with an impressive 2-0 win away to Benfica, before a 0-0 draw at home to Monaco. This should be a decent game, with every possibility of goals at sides, but I'll take AH +0.50 in Zenit's side.

Asian Handicap
Pick: +0.50 Zenit
Odds: 2.12
Stake: 5/10

Champions league is back and there's a lot of decent games to choose. Cheers! Odds are provided by SBOBET.
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PostSubject: Re: 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks   22nd October 2014, 03:47

Oct 23 picks

UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE 

Lille vs Everton

There's no reason not to pick Everton here. The home team only concedes 3 goals from their last five and also they loss their last home match. Lille had a hard time to get some goals and against a team like Everton that have a lot of experience in international matches it becomes a lot more difficult.

Everton also has problems with their form. Their away performance is not that good, but that's against the top EPL teams. The away team has a decent odds @2. 88 SBOBET. 

1x2
Pick: Everton
Odds: 2.88
Stake: 6/10

__________

Standard Liege vs Sevilla

Both of these teams had an average of 2 goals per game on both sides.  With the likes of M'Bia, Aspas and, Krychowiak the away team has a huge advantage. The main choice here is to go Over 2.5 @1.87. Standard concedes 7 goals from their last three home matches and also 7 goals from Sevilla's last three away matches. An even form in my opinion, so putting a fair amount in Over 2.5 is the profit.. 

Over Under
Pick: Over 2.5
Odds: 1.87
Stake: 10/10

__________

Club Brugge vs FC Copenhagen

Brugge has an unbelievable goal average! They concede a whooping 17 goals from their last five matches and 9 of that is from home. Copenhagen had no chance in this fixture their away form are hit and miss. This will surely a money from Over 2.5 goals with 1.97 @SBOBET! Expect the odds to drop so act fast! 

Over Under
Pick: Over 2.5
Odds: 1.97
Stake: 10/10

Thats it guys! Cheers!
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roguegenius



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PostSubject: Re: 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks   23rd October 2014, 04:29

Oct 24 Picks

SPAIN LA LIGA 

Celta Vigo vs Levante

After a home loss against Villarreal that are currently above them in the league table, Celta Vigo will defend their home against Levante. This will be a one sided fixture for the home side. Levante is currently in the 19th position in the league table and not doing well while in away. Celta Vigo will not tolerate any mistakes here and the power trio Nolito,Larrivey, and Orellana will be making some plays here. So I'll put a decent amount in Over 2.75 @1.99 in SBOBET. The In-play Betting lines will also a target market for this fixture so I recommend to watch for odds movements for this match.  

Over Under
Pick: Over 2.75
Odds: 1.99
Stake: 5/10

__________

GERMANY BUNDESLIGA 

Werder Bremen vs Koln

If Di Santo makes some plays here this will be a Bremen game. Both sides are pretty even in my opinion. If we look the stats for this team a draw will consider, but both of these teams can concede goals. I predict that this game will be an offensive match and a lot of goals are coming. Bremen has the upper hand because of the home crowd, so also I put a decent amount in AH for Bremen side. 

Over Under
Pick: Over 2.5
Odds: 1.85
Stake: 7/10

Asian Handicap
Pick -0.25 Bremen
Odds: 2.35
Stake: 3/10

___________

FRANCE LIGUE 1 

 Toulouse vs Lens

This fixture is a draw win in Toulouse. They can perform well both sides, especially in the front of the home crowd. With the likes of Ben Yedder this guy knows how and when to make some plays for his team. Lens will be no chance in this fixture, they have loss their last two away matches and losing 4 games from their last five. I smell a 2-0 here so I put a small amount for Correct Score here. Smile

1x2
Pick: Toulouse
Odds: 1.61
Stake: 10/10

Correct Score
Pick: 2-0
Odds: 6.60
Stake: 2/10

Not so exciting matches, but profit can be made! Cheers and have a wonderful betting day!
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PostSubject: Re: 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks   24th October 2014, 03:56

Oct 25 picks

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE 

West Ham United vs Manchester City

West Ham United is 4th in the league table with 13 points, Manchester City is currently second with 17 points. West Ham certainly enjoys the best start so far in their Premier League history for a long time, they won 2 games for a spin, but this game likely will end as a defeat! Meanwhile, Manchester City failed to clinch a win at an empty home fans stadium against CSKA Moscow in Russia with a 2-2 draw in their midweek Champions League thanks to their costly injury penalty given to the Russian, pretty much damaged their morale as they were 2-0 up at half time. I think the Asian Handicap Line will be the match breaker here, a decent amount for the home team +1 @ 2.07 will be my choice.

Asian Handicap
Pick: +1 West Ham United
Odds: 2.07
Stake: 6/10

__________

Liverpool vs Hull City

Liverpool failed to defend their home field against Real Madrid with a heartbreaking 0-3 loss. That's a tragic loss, especially they're currently 5th place with 13 points in the league table. That loss maybe not a huge factor in this fixture, but they hunger for goals for this match is a big deal. 

Hull, maybe the underdog here, but their consistency to concede an average of 2 goals per game both sides are a huge factor. Yes, they have an L-D in their last away matches, but they conceded 4 goals in 2 away games. 

My choice is an Over 3 for this match, SBOBet has a fair odds @2.02. 

Over Under
Pick: Over 3
Odds: 2.02
Stake: 6/10

__________

W.B.A vs Crystal Palace

Currently 14th and 16th position in the league table with 9 and 8 points. W.B.A may be the favourites for this match, but performance wise we cannot tell the outcome of this game. W.B.A power is from Berahino currently had 6 goals in the tournament. CP performance is not consistent in away, but I'm sure they can manage to catch up some goals in this game. Just like their away game against Everton. The best choice here is +0.50 AH for Crystal Palace. 

Asian Handicap
Pick: +0.50 Crystal Palace
Odds: 2.03
Stake: 5/10

Important EPL week guys! I know we make some profits in here. Odds are provided by SBOBet. Cheers!
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PostSubject: Re: 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks   28th October 2014, 02:38

Oct 29 Picks!

ITALY SERIE A 

AS Roma vs Cesena

After a tragic home match against B. Munich in 1-7, Roma will be back at home to defend against Cesena. I can't see any problems in Roma side highly favoured by various bookmakers with 1.18 odds. They're the 2nd team in the league table and facing a bottom table team. Under 3 is my choice here, Roma is a strong team, but a Cesena will be scoreless here and I am not expecting a higher than 2 goals from Roma. 

Over Under
Pick: Under 3
Odds: 1.85
Stake: 7/10

__________

Atalanta vs Napoli

An outcome of 1-2 in this fixture will be a fair choice. Atalanta's performance both sides are so bad. Yes, they won their last home match against Parma, but that team is the last in the league table. Against Napoli this will be a bad news for them. Napoli concedes 4 goals from their last 3 away matches and against a team like Atalanta I'm expecting them to concede more. 

Over Under
Pick: Over 2.5
Odds: 2.04
Stake: 7/10

__________

Palermo vs Chievo 

A pretty even match in my opinion and the home advantage is a huge factor in this kind of match. Gonzales put a show in their last home match against Cesena in 2-1 win. Palermo maybe has the advantage here, but Chievo needs to perform here. I don't want to highly favor Palermo in this one because Chievo might snatch a win here. For a safer pick AH +0.50 is my choice for Chievo. 

Asian Handicap
Pick: Chievo +0.50
Odds: 1.96
Stake: 5/10
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roguegenius



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PostSubject: Re: 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks   31st October 2014, 02:59

Nov 1 Picks

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE 

Newcastle United vs Liverpool

It has been a long time since Liverpool was priced around 2 in departure and it seems as Suarez' departure to Barcelona made this big difference. Liverpool is unrecognizable to me in this season and even though they bought more players and I mean great players, they aren't playing what they should. Newcastle are currently in a good form, but this game is difficult for them because these two teams evolutions are completely different and the tables should be turned here. Newcastle has 3 consecutive games undefeated and they lost at home just against City 0-2. 

Asian Handicap
Pick: Liverpool -0.50
Odds: 2.01
Stake: 7/10

__________

Everton vs Swansea City

Everton started the season badly with only 1 win in 7 matches, but now the injury crisis is over and they have back to back wins. They won 3-0 against Aston Villa and 3-1 against Burnley. On the other side Swansea opened the season perfectly with 3 wins in the first 3 matches, but they have only 1 win in their last 6 matches in the PL. Also, they lost in the Capital One Cup 2-1 from Liverpool and that result could affect on the players. 

Everton are very strong at home while Swansea is not playing very well on the road. Everton have scored at least 2 goals in their last 10 home matches in the Premier League. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 9 of Everton's last 10 home games in the Premier League. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Swansea's last 6 away games in the Premier League. Everton won their last 2 home matches against Swansea 3-2 and 3-1.

My preferred bet for this match is Everton to score over 1.5 goals, but as we don't have that option in our betting menu I think that over 2.5 goals will do the job as well.

Over Under
Pick: Over 2.5
Odds: 1.82
Stake: 7/10

Thats for today! GL!
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roguegenius



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PostSubject: Re: 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks   6th November 2014, 02:12

Nov 8 EPL Picks

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE

Liverpool vs Chelsea

The Reds are at the 8th place on the table with 14 points while the Blues are in the 1st place on the table with 26 points.

Liverpool has played 5 matches at home so far in the PL, they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 lose. On the other side Chelsea has played 5 away matches so far in the PL, they have 3 wins and 2 draws. 

Liverpool have kept only 1 clean sheet this season while Chelsea are yet to keep a clean sheet away from home this season in the PL. Also Chelsea have scored in each of the 10 matches they have played so far this season.

Over Under
Pick: Over 2.5
Odds: 1.95
Stake: 10/10

__________

Burnley vs Hull City

I can't  see any problems in Hull side in this fixture. Burnley is the only team that didn't win a match in the league. Currently the with 4 points in the 20th position in the league table. I think that the absence of Jelavic in this game is the reason why bookmakers slightly favour Burnley in this match, but Hull still have Diame and Hernandez and against the weakest team in the premiership this season I don't see any problems. 

Taking Hull to win is the main bet here, but if you want a safer pick go for Asian Handicap Betting 0.00 @2. 13 in Hull.

1x2
Pick: Hull City
Odds: 2.87
Stake: 6/10

Asian Handicap
Pick: 0.00 Hull City
Odds: 2.13
Stake: 7/10

This will be an exciting EPL weekend Smile
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roguegenius



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PostSubject: Re: 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks   13th November 2014, 02:15

UEFA EURO 2016 QUALIFIERS Nov 14 Picks

Georgia vs Poland

Can't understand these odds. Great value for Poland here, and if they grab a win here, they are almost secured to play in the Euro 16. They are on top of their group after beating Germany and Gibraltar. And a strong draw against Scottland in Scottland.

Georgia has lost 2 games against Scottland and Ireland, and won their game against Gibraltar obviously. And they are on 5th spot now.

Poland has a much stronger roster than Georgia, and I predict that these odds will drop a lot before kickoff.

1x2
Pick: Poland
Odds: 1.91
Stake: 8/10

__________

Scotland vs Republic of Ireland

What a great odds for Ireland in this fixture @3. 20. Yes, Scotland has the home advantage but I'm not convinced in their last home win against Georgia that are currently sitting in 5th place. Scotland is currently 3rd in this group.

I don't understand the odds for Ireland at 3.20 is so high. They have 7 points and currently 2nd in this group and also doing wonders. They have Keane, McClean, and McGeady that doing great for their team. And also won their last 3 meetings against Scotland. Stats and history tell that the Republic of Ireland is the upper team in this fixture. 

1x2
Pick: Republic of Ireland
Odds: 3.20
Stake: 10/10

__________

Hungary vs Finland

Both of these teams have 4 points in the league table. Hungary loses their last home game against Northern Ireland with a 1-2 defeat. They have a decent home form with L-W-W-D-L and have the home crowd. 

Finland on the other hand got a good run in away and won their last away match against Faroe Islands with a convincing 1-3. 

Both of these teams had a chance to take the win here so I'm putting my money for Finland +0.25 Asian Handicap Betting at 1.97 in SBOBET

Asian Handicap
Pick: +0.25 Finland
Odds: 1.97
Stake: 5/10

Goodluck!
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roguegenius



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PostSubject: Re: 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks   16th December 2014, 04:58

Germany Bundesliga Picks Dec  18

Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg

Dortmund's opening odds makes me say NAH! Of course SBOBET and a lot of bookmakers favour them in this fixture. They were good in their last home matches, but at 1.89 for them is such a wow. Reus is one of the main men in this squad and he's out because of injury. Meanwhile, the star players of Wolfsburg are there they may be facing a home crowd here, but their away form tells us all that they can take this match. Also keep in mind that Wolfsburg is 2nd in the league table and Dortmund is 16th. Away win for me at 4, pretty sweet, but if you want a safer and almost a cherry pick AH +0.50 @2.03 for Wolfburg is the right bet for yah! Cheers! 

1x2
Pick: Wolfsburg
Odds: 4.00
Stake: 6/10

Asian Handicap
Pick: +0.50 Wolfsburg
Odds: 2.03
Stake: 8/10

__________

Borussia Monchengladbach vs Werder Bremen

Pretty a M'gladbach game in my opinion. They're the better team good home form and sitting 4th in the league table. They didn't lose any home games from their last 5 home matches. On the other side Bremen will have a hard time in this fixture, especially with the absence of DI Santo because of the injury. Maybe they can snatch a goal from M'gladbach, but they cannot snatch a win in this match. I'm putting my money in Over 3 here. If DI Santo is here this may be a higher goal line. 

Over Under
Pick: Over 3
Odds: 1.83
Stake: 6/10

__________

SC Paderborn 07 vs Schalke 04

Looking forward for a draw/win for Schalke 04 side here.  Odds are not the best, but they can tell that Asian Handicap is the best line for this match. Pederborn concedes 2 draws and 2 wins from their last 4 home matches and got 2 draws from their last 2. Schalke 04 is the clue here,  they won their last 2 away matches against Maribor and Stuttgart and get the confidence boost that they need for this match.  There's a possibility of a draw here so AH +0.25 for Schalke is my backup line. 

1x2
Pick: Schalke 04
Odds: 2.52
Stake: 6/10

Asian Handicap
Pick: +0.25 Schalke 04
Odds: 1.64
Stake: 10/10

I also recommend to check the In-play Betting lines for this fixtures. Goodluck!
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roguegenius



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PostSubject: Re: 2014-15 Football Major Leagues Picks   17th December 2014, 03:43

ITALY SERIE A 

 Cagliari vs Juventus

Looking back from their last meetings, Juventus won 4 times, including a draw from their last 5 match. For the past 2 years Cagliari never beats Juventus. This match is no exception,  Juventus had the better form, 1st in the league table and surely the better team. Cagliari will suffer in this match, especially Sau, Marco will be out of this game because of injury. I don't expect a single goal in the home side in this fixture. The zero goal record of Cagliari from their last 3 Serie A matches is enough to not invest in the goal lines. Asian Handicap is the choice here, -1.25 for Juventus is a gamble but I'm sure that they will easily beat the home team. 

Pick
Asian Handicap: -1.25 Juventus
Odds: 2.01
Stake: 5/10

__________

Napoli vs Parma

There's no doubt that the home team will get this one. Currently 7th in the league table and never lose a single match in their last 5 home matches. Meanwhile the bottom of the table Parma will have a tough time in this match. I also did not expect any goals from them. Asian Handicap will be my main line here putting a decent amount for -1.25 Napoli. 

Pick:
Asian Handicap: -1.25 Napoli
Odds: 1.75
Stake: 6/10

Not so exciting match but a potential profit Smile Goodluck!
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