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|Subject: Rep of Ireland v Germany – Team News 12th October 2012, 14:56|| |
Over 2.5 goals @ 8/11
Mesut Ozil to score first @ 13/2Ireland began their World Cup qualification campaign in suspect fashion, requiring two late goals to overturn a 1-0 deficit in Kazakhstan, but they got the three points and can now look forward to a home game against Germany where any point will be a bonus.The Irish were found to be well out of their depth at Euro 2012 when coming up against Croatia, Italy and Spain. The Germans will present a similarly difficult task and we should expect, ultimately, a similar outcome.Giovanni Trapattoni is faced with the prospect of having to field a patched-up team to take on Germany this Friday. Robbie Keane, Sean St Ledger, Glenn Whelan, James McClean, Kevin Doyle and Richard Dunne are all unavailable due to injury, with Ciaran Clark, Conor Clifford, David Meyler and Robbie Brady drafted in as cover. Aiden McGeady has flown in from Russia to give the Irish a much-needed boost.Germany also have injury concerns of their own with Mats Hummels, Ilkay Gundogan and Lars Bender all withdrawing from the squad due to injury. Heiko Westermann has since been brought into the fold in order to provide cover.The Germans’ recent record in qualifying for major tournaments is quite a remarkable one. They have won both of their qualifying games so far this campaign, won all 10 matches in qualifying for Euro 2012 and have not lost a qualification game since October 2007. Joachim Low’s side are priced at odds of 4/9 to pick up all three points this Friday, and with good reason.I’m sure there will be plenty of patriotic punters tempted to have a nibble on the 13/2 available for a home win, but my advice to those partisan fans considering parting with their hard-earned cash is to look elsewhere.The obvious place to look is the 8/11 available on Over 2.5 goals. 21 of Germany’s last 23 matches in all competitions have produced three goals or more, whilst they have scored at least twice in their last nine away games.Miroslav Klose is expected to lead the line for the visitors and can be backed at odds of 7/2 to break the deadlock, while Arsenal’s in-form Lukas Podolski is a 4/1 chance in the same market.Mesut Ozil tends to be on penalty duty for the Germans; scoring his side’s second from the spot in their most recent win over Austria. The Real Madrid midfielder looks good value at 13/2.Prior to Euro 2012 Ireland’s success had been built upon a solid defensive structure, as they went on a record run of games without conceding. The loss of Shay Given, to retirement, and the absence of Richard Dunne and Sean St Ledger through injury means that the backbone of the team is no longer there. And Ireland’s loss is there for the Germans to exploit.
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